WEATHER

Welcome to our weather page, with information kindly provided by the Bureau of Meteorology.

For up-to-the-minute weather reporting and forecasting, please go to www.bom.gov.au  or download the BOM weather app.

16/05/2019

Dry, warm winter likely

The outlook for winter, issued Thursday 16 May, shows a warmer and drier than average season is likely for most of Victoria.

Parts of the south have roughly equal chances of a drier or wetter than average winter. But as you move further north the chance of above average rainfall decreases.



Winter days are likely to be warmer than usual, with the highest chances (greater than 80%) in the north.



Nights are likely to be warmer than average across most of the State, with the strongest chances in the southeast. In the northwest there's roughly equal chances for warmer or cooler than usual minimum temperatures.



The Bureau's climate model suggests the dry pattern in the outlook for Victoria is being driven by the increased chance of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole event during winter. The current El Niño-like warmth in the Pacific is expected to cool in the coming months, easing the central tropical Pacific further into a neutral ENSO (El Niño–Southern Oscillation) phase by mid-winter. If the models are correct, then the dry influence from the Indian Ocean will likely replace the dry influence from the Pacific. El Niño typically brings below average winter–spring rainfall to eastern Australia, while a positive Indian Ocean Dipole typically brings below average rainfall to southern and central Australia. When the two phenomena coincide, they can reinforce their dry impacts.

See the complete winter Climate Outlook.

15/05/2019

Join us for a winter webinar



You’re invited to attend a BOM Webinar delivered by the Bureau of Meteorology’s weather, water, climate and ocean experts.

The next webinar is the Winter 2019 climate and water update, Thursday 6 June 2019, 11.00 am – 12.00 pm AEST. Get an in-depth analysis of recent conditions for autumn 2019, as well as the rainfall and temperature outlook for the coming winter.



Register now at the link below, or send this link to a friend, colleague or customer who might be interested.

https://bomwebinars.webex.com/bomwebinars/onstage/g.php?MTID=e8cbb36a9db38c0e983c24bd8bf95e78e

Visit the BOM Webinars page for more information and subscribe to get notifications of upcoming webinars.

Recent Weather Updates

  • Dry, warm winter likely | 16/05/2019  

    The outlook for winter, issued Thursday 16 May, shows a warmer and drier than average season is likely for most of Victoria.
  • Join us for a winter webinar | 15/05/2019  

    You’re invited to attend a BOM Webinar delivered by the Bureau of Meteorology’s weather, water, climate and ocean experts.
  • A dry May on the cards | 26/04/2019  

    Most of Victoria is still waiting for an autumn break. Parts of the east and southwest received average to above average rain in March but elsewhere, much of the State remains dry. Parts of the Mallee are yet to receive rainfall this April. Unfortuna
  • May–July: high temperatures, 50:50 rainfall | 11/04/2019  

    Overall, March 2019 in Victoria was drier and warmer than usual. Rainfall in the last weeks of March lifted monthly totals in the far east to above average but elsewhere they remained average to below average.